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How many parents can afford to buy little johny a ps3 and games and still have money left over for other Christmas presents?
 
Sony has been a consumer electronics leader for decades. They know the consumer electronics market as well or better than Nintendo or Microsoft (who has spent most of it's life selling software, not hardware) What were they thinking bringing a game system to the market for $600? That is larger than most car payments and many mortgage payments, especially if you exclude escro payments and just count principle and interest. Hardcore gamers will pay just about anything for great hardware, but hardcore gamers make up only a small portion of the gaming market. How many parents can afford to buy little johny a ps3 and games and still have money left over for other Christmas presents? How many birthday presents for kids *say 12-16* are in the $600 range? Did they bother to do any marketing research? Did they anticipate a huge drop in components that just never happened? MOST importantly at this point: Is the PS3 hardware strong enough to last long enough to wait out the component price drop, bring the PS3 down to $240-$300 and still be new enough to sell? I figure it will be at least 2 years for this drop to happen. Will the PS3 still be a viable game system to invest $300 in 2 years from now? At that point the hardware will be 3 years old. Will people want to spend the $300 to buy a 3 year old system? Probably not. Sony's best bet is to drop the ps3's price ALOT and take a beating on each machine and make it up in software. Sony made billions of dollars worldwide in software sales and licensing fees with the ps1 and ps2 and could probably do it with the ps3, but they have got to move more machines and the only way to do that is a price drop. People like the machine, they just can't afford it. Sony could also license the technology for the arcades, internet kiosks and the like. This would help, but not solve the problem by itself.
 
 
Sony decided to position the PS3 in the high-end AV market, instead of the gaming market. $600 for a piece of AV gear is pretty cheap - especially when you're talking about a next-gen video player. Remember, when blu-ray players first came out, they were between $1000 and $2000 - by comparison a $600 player seems like a bargain. Sony was convinced that they could sell the PS3 as a blu-ray player more than as a game console. My guess is that they figured by the time the Blu-ray hardware came down in price, the PS3 also become cheaper while also having a decent enough game library to entice gamers to buy it. What I don't understand is why Sony thought people would be so excited about Blu-Ray when it launched a format war. Surely they of all people should remember the LAST time there was a home media format war. After all, their format (BETAMAX) lost - but not before lots of people bought into it before realizing they'd bought the 'wrong' one. Furthermore, the only people in a position to take advantage of Blu-ray or HD-DVD are the folks with a HDTV - the very same market burned by the VHS/Betamax war from 20 years ago. Also, unlike the difference between VHS to DVD, the difference between DVD and Blu-ray/HD-DVD isn't as pronounced - especially when comparing upscaled DVD on a HDTV to Blu-Ray/HD-DVD. Considering that many people are still confused about what "HD" is exactly, it's going to be harder to convince them to upgrade. > That is larger than most car payments and many > mortgage payments, especially if you exclude escro payments and just > count principle and interest. Hardcore gamers will pay just about > anything for great hardware, but hardcore gamers make up only a small > portion of the gaming market. That's both true and false... As Sony saw with the PS2, the majority of their customers tended to be males in their mid-late 20s. These folks were usually fresh out of college, enjoying their first "real" job, and had larger amounts of disposable income and free time since they didn't have a house, wife, and kid(s) to deal with yet. (I can tell you that when I bought my house, my gaming budget was severely reduced but then I got married and haven't had as much time to play games as well...)
 

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